Research on the Early-warming Mechanism of Our Furniture Anti-dumping

The number of furniture anti-dumping petitions initiate by overseas countries against our furniture has always increased quickly,China has particularly concerned with the anti-dumping problem existing in the trading between overseas and China.This paper analyzes the main reasons the the number of our anti-dumping petitions against China’s furniture initiated by overseas countries dramatically in recent years.We divide the causes why developing countries initiate anti-dumping petitions into economy causes.politics causes and mechanism of business management.On the basis of which,twenty-eight experts come from universities,government and enterprises participated the survey of anti-dumping from against China’s furniture,provide a quantitative analysis for the problem,and we get the early-warming mechanism model.

On the basis of the study above,referring to the early-warming mechanism model have conducted,we construct an early-warming mechanism model of anti-dumping from the United Stated against China’s furniture,this model includes three mainly aspects:

1.       According to the historical data,we pick up the guidelines that pass the test of significance through the correlative analysis.

2.       We generate a statistical early-warming model,estimate the grade of early-warning and test its availability

3.       By the regressive analysis,we find the expressions of number of anti-dumping petitions,and test its accuracy.

We input the data of the United States,who initiates the most anti-dumping petitions against China’s furniture,and return fine outcome.It proves the efficiency of the early-warning mechanism model from developing countries against China.

So the model is helpful when government and enterprises determine policies and take measures to defend themselves against the anti-dumping petitions initiated by overseas countries,control and reduce the number of anti-dumping,avoid and relieve the cost causes by anti-dumping survey.